Capitalist Eric

Truth is treason in an empire of lies.

Archive for March 2020

Coronavirus- Hitting the Wall HARD.

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coronavirus molecule

Since the outbreak of the CHINESE WUHAN coronavirus, I’ve been watching very carefully as things progressed. With an R0 of 4-6.7 (depending on whose data you believe), and an asymptomatic period (yet still contagious) of up to 27 days, it didn’t take me more than a few minutes to run through the ramifications, and say “oh, SHIT.”

But continuing to watch as this thing moved on, the numbers just didn’t add up. It was obvious China was bullshitting their numbers, and probably still are. If we ignore the China numbers, and instead look at the Johns Hopkins coronavirus map, excluding China, we find the doubling time to be ~4.2 days, which is really bad.

The Lancet published an initial study saying 83% of those exposed became infected, and of those, a mortality rate of 15% (total mortality rate of 12.45% of the population), it basically mean that 1 in 8 people exposed will die. These numbers should be shocking to the average person. They certainly were to me.

Yet news reports claim a mortality rate of <2%. As I write this, the current number of infected in the USA is 9,345 and the number of yesterday’s deaths is 150. You would think that this equates to a mortality rate of 1.6%, which matches the benchmark that the CDC is proudly proclaiming (aside from the fact that if 200 million people are infected, that works out to 3.2 million dead…

But is this an accurate assessment? The answer is an emphatic NO.

In fact, it’s complete bullshit.

The virus incubates in the body for (on average) 5 days from exposure, and serious complications from 5 to 11 days. So for us to accurately calculate the mortality rate, we need to compare current deaths to a number infected in the past: I’ll use ten days ago. Again, as I write this, the current number of deaths is 150, but the number infected ten days ago, which in this case, is 541. Now, the mortality rate isn’t 1.6%, but 27.7%…

Now, the question becomes, does that sound reasonable? Compared to the Lancet study, the answer is yes.

There are three other countries that have reasonably modern medical facilities that have so far taken the brunt of the coronavirus outbreak to date: Italy, Spain and France. In Italy’s case, after a rocky start, they managed to get their recovery rate to between 63% and 74%. (Of course, their medical system has been overwhelmed; we’ll get back to this aspect shortly.) Spain has had similar results. Ditto for France. The point of these examples is that the mortality rate, at a minimum, is 8%, and goes up to 37%, vastly higher than the happy-talk told us by the CDC.

Even South Korea, where the quarantine measures have vastly exceeded of those of the United States to prevent further spread, and where they have far more hospital beds per capita, the current mortality rate is 5.2%.

So do the CDC claims of <2% for the USA still sound legit to you?

Going back to Italy, it’s common knowledge that their medical system has been overrun with cases, that they’ve had to triage the elderly, and treat the younger, who have a better chance of survival. Keep in mind that they have 3.2 beds per 1000 people. It didn’t take long, to simply overwhelm the hospitals there, with entirely predictable results; the mortality rate there has increased to 42%. That’s looking at “closed cases,” by the way. Checking from a different angle, the number of deaths versus the numbers of infected ~10 days ago, we see 2,978 deaths now versus 7,375, or a 40.4% mortality rate. While these numbers are horrifying, they’re also easily understood when you consider their medical system has, for all intents and purposes, collapsed under the strain of so many sick.

As current rates apply to the USA, with a doubling every 4.2 days, we come up with the model:

coronavirus spread USA

My mathematical model, compared to reality thus far, looks like this:

USA infections model to actual 3_18_20

Not perfect, but not bad, considering how badly the CDC has screwed up their counting of cases…

Now, there have been plenty of estimates regarding the number of hospital beds available to treat those with severe symptoms of the coronavirus, which will afflict ~20% of those infected. That is, they’ll NEED hospital care- for weeks- to overcome the virus.

With approximately 1 million hospital beds in the USA, and about 70-80% occupied at any given time, this means that about 200,000 beds are available. If we assume that we’ll hospitalize only the worst 10% of patients, this means we’ll be out of beds when we have 2 million confirmed infected people. When will THAT be? Approximately April 22, just over a month from now.

USA infections model to limit 3_18_20

But here’s where it gets really ugly. If you look carefully, you’ll see the small red line labeled “Limit.” After that limit- for the availability of hospital beds is reached, there’s no more room for you no matter HOW sick you are…  You’ll live or you’ll die…  on your own.

So, when the first 2 million get sick, the worst of the first 10% get treatment, and everybody after that…? Well, the chances for your survival go to something similar to Italy, where there ISN’T a healthcare system anymore…

This AIN’T your normal flu.

The ONLY way I see, to break this cycle, is the much-discussed lock-down of the USA, for at least six weeks…  That covers the 5-day incubation time, the (at maximum) 27 days of running around with no symptoms while still being contagious, and the (up to) 11 days of suffering the effects and either living or dying, 44 days.  Anything less…  and we’re going to be in big trouble, and SOON.

We’ve GOT to break the model.

Written by Capitalist Eric

March 19, 2020 at 1:04 am

Posted in Uncategorized

Coronavirus- Blunt Truth (Part 2, Hitting the Wall)

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coronavirus molecule

Introduction:

Two days ago I posted this essay, detailing some of the fundamental facts of the coronavirus now referred to as CoVid19. If you haven’t read it, please do so, as it explains the history, why China wanted to develop biological weapons, and what coronavirus really is.

In short, the story mimics the story of Dr. Frankenstein and his creation. The monster has turned on the creator (Asian people carry 5x the number of ACE2 receptors, which coronavirus targets).

I’ve already been prodded to produce the follow-up to the first essay, and this one is far more difficult; there’s far more noise about what might be and far less documentation to hyperlink to.

Clarification from yesterday’s article:

One reader made the point that medical experts were extrapolating that the mortality rate in China is substantially higher (15% of those who got sick, roughly 5x the mortality rate of the Western world) as due to the higher concentration of ACE2 receptors in Asians, versus blacks or whites. I must make the comment that this extrapolation is not from the medical community, but my own conjecture. “It stands to reason…” and all that.

Moving on.

Recent Trends:

I have to preface my point by laying out some obvious, though largely ignored, data points…

For the last 30 years, American industries have been studiously “off-shored” to places where there were no laws governing environmental pollution, labor (and the abuse thereof), or intellectual property. China had a billion people at the time, an effectively unlimited source of labor, who wouldn’t complain too much, take what they could, and try to make the best of the shitty situation they were dealt with. When you live under a totalitarian boot, it doesn’t pay to be noticed.

The Chinese philosophy of business is that business IS war, nothing less. So they’ve undercut American businesses with their competitive advantages, and stupid executives and corporatists went along with it. For example, [m]ore than 90% of Apple’s products are assembled in China.

When it comes to medicines, 80 percent of the U.S. supply of antibiotics are made in China, 95 percent of U.S. imports of ibuprofen, 91 percent of U.S. imports of hydrocortisone, 70 percent of U.S. imports of acetaminophen, 40 to 45 percent of U.S. imports of penicillin and 40 percent of U.S. imports of heparin, according to Commerce Department data.

Let’s look at other industries, like the auto industry. China’s Hubei province, epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak, is a major hub for vehicle parts production and shipments. This is having massive impacts on EVERY car company in the world.

Go to Walmart, and you’ll see the place is filled with cheap Chinese crap. Go to Disneyworld and buy your kid a Chinese doll made in a slave-labor factory. Buy a gift card and find a note from a poor Chinese worker begging for help. Buy some tools at your local auto parts store and they’re made… in China. And yes, that includes Craftsman tools, which used to be some of the best around.

The point is that the Chinese have got their fingers into every aspect of our lives,and our markets. There’s damn-near NOWHERE you can go where the stores aren’t filled with that junk- poor quality, made by those suffering indentured servitude, or just prisoners. Americans have largely been ignorant and complacent of that fact.

As I mentioned yesterday, the factory that seems to supply us with everything, has been closed for business since mid-January. The ships with all the “stuff” we buy aren’t coming in; the cargo is either still on the docks in China (waiting for cargo ships to eventually come in and take it) or the factories themselves are shut down. A silver lining of this- little though it is- is that the closed factories are no longer busily polluting their country:

coronavirus china smog

Indeed, due to the coronavirus, the rest of the world has simply shut their doors to China; a round of economic sanctions that nobody in their right mind wants to violate. After all, who wants to import products that may carry the virus? Who wants to deliver needed cargo like foodstuffs to China when the crews could become infected? China, you need to understand, is in no way self-sufficient. To survive as a country, imports are absolutely necessary. And they’re not getting them.

Because China is closed for business, the ramifications for the rest of the world, cannot be understated for the short term.

Put simply, what you have in the warehouses for Walmart, Amazon, Apple, and all the rest, is all your going to get, for (in my opinion) at least another 3-4 months). China, for all intents and purposes, will go half the year without producing anything close to what they have been doing…

I say 3-4 months, referring to the graph I put up last night which showed worldwide maximum infection is reached by May 17th or 18th, by my estimates. That is, everyone will have been exposed to the coronavirus within approximately two months, and the survivors will be picking up the pieces after they recover, a month later. At that time, the push from Chinese leadership will be to get production back up and running as fast as humanly possible.

Ok, So WHAT?

Well, you say, that’s only for Chinese stuff. Who cares? We still have farmers, we have skilled trades, we have our industries (those not crippled by China being a non-entity for six months), what do WE have to worry about?

[Here’s where things get fuzzy, and conjecture takes over.]

The answer is that the rest of the world also buys a lot of their stuff; the USA isn’t the only trading partner China has. In fact, the EU and ASEAN both import more Chinese crap [ahem] goods than the USA. Which means that the products we now depended on China to produce, we now have to go to the remaining producers (wherever) and compete against the EU and ASEAN to obtain those products- IF they can be obtained… From an economics perspective, increasing demand combined with vastly reduced supplies translates into skyrocketing prices- for almost everything. Things like band-aides, antibiotics, electronics, FOOD, N95 masks, etc., etc.

Even more, the EU and ASEAN blocs will be coming to the USA, to buy up whatever they can, to take back to their own countries- like band-aides, antibiotics, electronics, FOOD, N95 masks, etc., etc.

So the prices for just about everything we use a lot of, are going to go up.
Side Note: One thing we all tend to have, is a bit of myopia; we care about the things around us, that impact us, and don’t consider the effects to others.

China being closed for business for the past two months has resulted in their demand for oil- not only for fuel, but for the cheap plastic shit that they love to make- dropping off a cliff. The daily oil consumption last year was 99.5 million barrels per day. While the USA consumes 20MB of that oil, it’s essentially net-zero for imports (there are some technical details that make this not entirely true, but close enough). China consumes 13.5MB of worlds oil supply on a daily basis, right behind the EU at 15MB. OPEC exports about 26MB per day, 15MB goes to all of Asia. In effect, the demand for oil from OPEC has dropped by 50%. The resulting oil glut has thus led to a drop in oil price from a 1/6/20 high of $64.76/barrel to close at $32.80/barrel, a corresponding 50% drop in price. They’re in deep trouble, as these Middle-Eastern regimes rely on steady cash-flows to bribe the local populations to stay quiet, so the (often corrupt, murderous and venal) royalty or religious leaders can stay in power. When the money to keep the restless commoners tamed is lost, the remaining credibility is lost, as well, eventually leading to losing their heads.

Just one example that I just never thought about, but it’s obvious.

It’ll be the same here.

For normal people, the result is going to be shortages (because you can’t match the prices being offered by others). Some results aren’t too hard to predict; rioting.

Some will riot due to their inability to feed themselves or their kids. As I said HERE, “Consider that while those desperate people who live on the dole may still get their checks (or “deposits” on their EBT cards), it will no longer be able to buy anything, because the prices of everything have gone up 500% overnight. What will happen in the inner cities, when people realize they can’t put food on the table, much less put gas in their cars? Gerald Celente summarized it best: “when people lose everything, and they have nothing left to lose, they lose it.” And they will.”

Some will riot because it just seems like a good time to riot (and steal a TV or pair of $300 sneakers, or a case of beer), fight “the man” and fight for “justice,” like they did with the deaths of thugs Trayvon Martin and Eric Brown. In other words, it’ll be an excuse to burn their city down around themselves.

Some extreme political groups, such as supporters of Communist Bernie Sanders, will decide that THIS is the time to strike, to smash the crony-capitalist system and bring in their utopian socialist dreams. And from a certain twisted perspective, there will be validity to their conclusions. The crony-capitalist, corporatist system, is what put us in this mess. Well, that, PLUS a healthy dose of treason by government officials in 2015 with the development of the first “hybrid virus” at University of North Carolina Chapel Hill. Crazy Bernie will promise the Free Shit Army™ EVERYTHING they want, and they’ll be stupid enough to believe it. It is questionable whether the elections will be held in November 2020, which will lead the hard-left (plus the MSM) to call Trump a “dictator” or Hitler or whatever else they need to foment insurrection.

I personally believe the whole rotten, bankrupt financial system, already teetering under a century of fiat-banking debt built into the Federal Reserve Act of 1913, may finally come crashing down. Why do I say this?

As I wrote in the same essay seven years ago,

“There are plenty of official proclamations as to how much debt the USA has-$16 (now $22) Trillion.

But the unofficial debt, using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) now stands at $238 Trillion. Against an annual GDP of approximately $16 $22Trillion, that means that every dollar of value created by goods and services for the next 15 years is already spent. And that number, by the way, is in today’s dollars.

Current estimates place the current “financial weapons of mass destruction,” the derivatives (or bad debts) outstanding, at $1.5 Quadrillion. How can one comprehend such a mind-boggling number? To answer that question, I took the measurements of a $1 bill, and calculated that this amount of money would cover the entire Earth with a layer of paper 1.24 inches thick. This is the amount of phony debt that is outstanding, waiting for the first domino to fall, where a bankrupt country goes to their bankrupt neighbor to collect, and so on. American banksters own approximately half of those bad bets- another 38 years of GDP gone.

So while the “official” numbers show we’re in deep trouble, the real data clearly shows the USA isn’t merely financially “broke,” which implies we’re out of spending money… It shows we’re completely bankrupt, without any hope of getting out of the hole we’re in.

Our main export at this point, isn’t jobs. That’s already gone, given away to the Chinese. Now, our main export is financial paper- or electronic dollars, to be more precise. The problem is that the ongoing collapse of the American economy- the basis of value for the American dollar- has made it obvious that the dollar is about to collapse.

In the past, the dollar was backed by gold. This ended in 1971, when President Nixon disconnected the dollar from gold, and let it “float.” That is to say, the value of the dollar after this time, was a reflection of the value of the U.S. economy. In other words, it was based on faith that the government could repay its debts. As I’ve already shown, it is now impossible to repay the debts, and there is nothing left to support the dollar as the reserve currency. We have no gold, no industry, nothing except nearly 50 million people who are broke, out of work and hungry, and roughly half of the electorate believes the other half “owes” them something (i.e., putting your money in their hands).

We’re already seeing the slow-motion financial nightmare begin to unfold; the stock market has lost 20% of it’s value since last Monday. And despite the Fed “printing” more fiat money, and the “Plunge Protection Team” using that newly created money to directly buy stocks in the market to prop up the numbers, it’s like trying to plug the hole in the dam with your thumb… and the concrete of the dam is shattered, the imminent flood impossible to ignore.

Eventually, the banks will turn to the government for “bail-ins,” where they legally confiscate your bank deposits to use as they see fit to save themselves, and you get nothing but a piece of paper that says you’re now an unsecured creditor of said bank. In other words, the money (and precious metals) that you physically have in possession, will be all the money you own. Look HERE, for the ugly details.

Strangely, while the our financial “betters” are getting smoked as the whole rotten edifice implodes, this will be a backdrop to the misery that will continue to play out through at least July 4, 2020.

As I posted in the previous essay, we have an exponential growth curve of the coronavirus globally, despite all government efforts to slow it down. That rate is a doubling of the number infected. Extrapolating from the number of cases in early February out, this means that global coverage will hit approximately May 17 or 18, 2020.

coronavirus spread

What’s interesting is the discussion of Liz Specht, a PhD in biology and the associate director of Science and Technology for the Good Food Institute laid out her concerns in a lengthy Twitter thread on Friday, which you can see here. Her conclusion: by about May 8th, all open hospital beds in the US will be filled. (This says nothing, of course, about whether these beds are suitable for isolation of patients with a highly infectious virus.)

Some of her assumptions are off, because she hasn’t been watching the number grow outside of China’s (clearly faked) data. So she assumed that the # of patients doubles every six days, not four as is actually occurring. She also assumed “The US has about 2.8 hospital beds per 1000 people. With a population of 330M, this is ~1M beds. At any given time, 65% of those beds are already occupied. That leaves about 330k beds available nationwide (perhaps a bit fewer this time of year with regular flu season, etc).”

Aesop, a medical care provider analyzed the data HERE:,

“1) The number of ICU beds already full is closer to 90%, most days, esp. during flu season, i.e. every day since Thanksgiving.

2) There’s already a severe shortage of N95 masks, and all protective apparel. With damned close to zero Kung Flu patients hospitalized anywhere. And that’s only going to get worse.

3) Because of #1 & #2, there won’t be a shortage of hospital beds.

Quite simply, unless you’re almost abso-f##king-lutely dying right this minute, you will not be getting a hospital bed.

Now. Then. Ever.

4) Napkin math says you’ll need 5M cases of Kung Flu to get 1M who need a hospital. We’re currently a long way from 5M cases, even if this doubles every 4-6 days.

(Remember Ebola Math: there are 34 doubles from 1 to Everyone.

The first ten get you to 1000. the second ten get you to 1M. So to get to 5M, you need 23 or so doublings. At 4-6 days per double, that’s 92-138 days. So if that’s the doubling speed, we will be at 5M cases by June, anyways. Not May. But in a pandemic, doublings speed up and slow down, as the virus hits new pockets of people, and then runs through them.

Regardless, at some point, we’ll get to 1M Kung Flu victims who need a bed.

5) None of that matters, because less than 10% of them will ever get in.

6) Because long before then, we’ll either decide to stop seeing them, or hospital care at all will cease to exist, from staff infections, lack of supplies, people who’ll stop coming to work, etc.

7) At that point, there will functionally be zero hospital beds.

Either because no one with Kung Flu will be let in, or because there isn’t a hospital. I can tell you right now, we aren’t going to turn away heart attacks, strokes, and trauma patients so we can see people with Kung Flu, even if they’re really effing sick. I’ve told you, “Don’t get this virus.” This is why. If you have URI symptoms, you’ll be triaged outside to a tent, and then transmogrified and transported to some CDC-approved empty warehouse, sports arena, convention center, etc., where you’ll get the best care you can from totally untrained amateurs, retirees brave enough to risk it, and people too stupid to turn that work down. Think former barristas, people too dumb to pass the TSA civil service exam, and the guys too stupid to make it delivering pizzas or spinning signs. The number of licensed folks there, like doctors or nurses, will be countable on one’s thumbs. There will be somewhere between vastly inadequate PPE, to no PPE. They will be short of everything but patients.

And as friend ASM826 at Borepatch’s blog has noted, even hospital staff can wear full Level A encapsulating suits in the hospital, but if they aren’t wearing them to their front yard decon station, and staying inside afterwards, they’re going to get Kung Flu from the general population anyways, in short order.

8) That is an S3 event.

It is not a Shit Show.

It is not a Shit Circus.

It will be a Shit Mardi Gras.

So Tyler’s analysis is too cheery by a couple orders of magnitude.”

Outrage will be obvious as the inevitable quarantines are introduced around metropolitan cities; unlike the Chinese- disarmed and cowed by generations of totalitarian control, most Americans fancy themselves as “independent” and “free,” and will chafe under such restrictions.

This led me to go back and look at the # of cases specifically associated with the United States: how many do we really have? President Trump put the travel restrictions from China in place January 31, but between the number of days the virus can be dormant, the unadulterated idiocy of the CDC, and the R0 being extremely high, I assumed that by February 13 we had a total of 10 cases in the USA, whether detected or not. Using the same doubling formula, we hit peak saturation on May 23, 2020, 5-6 days after the global model indicates hitting that same point.

coronavirus spread USA

Why bother with this?

Because the discussion was around hospital beds. How LONG until we no longer have medical care for people with the virus, using Dr. Specht’s assumptions? IF 1 million beds are in hospitals, IF 35% are them are available, and IF only 10% of people need hospitalization, you run out of beds on May 8. Everyone else lives- and dies- at home. If we use Aesop’s assumptions that only 10% of ICU beds are available (and a more realistic estimate of 20% needing some sort of medical care) it means the hospitals are overwhelmed April 15.

As mentioned in the last essay, this is the truly awesome, and truly frightening, power of exponential growth. The assumptions can vary a little or a LOT, but the end result ends up not changing very much. All the tweaking, all the efforts to “contain the virus,” “slow it down” or somehow “mitigate the situation” are all useless efforts, and don’t change anything.

You. Still. Hit. The. Wall.

coronavirus hittingthewall

Mike Adams, of Naturalnews.com has a downloadable excel spreadsheet where you can play with similar numbers HERE. You’ll see the results aren’t pretty.

What does this mean, in realistic terms? Well, the mortality rate for Chinese people with top-shelf medical care was 12% of all those exposed, per the Lancet study. But Asian people have ~5x the amount of ACE2 receptor cells, which the coronavirus targets. The mortality rate of whites and blacks is (apparently about 2.5-3.2%, depending on whose data you use). And that’s with premiere medical care at your disposal. When all of the beds are filled, you’re on your own, and the mortality rate will (by my wild-assed guess) at least double, to 5%, or ~16.5 million Americans, and globally, 325 million people.

To “avoid” this from happening the government will take similar actions as China, though not as draconian. Commercial air travel will cease for an extended length of time, gatherings of a certain amount- say, 10 people- will be forbidden, public events all canceled, travel forbidden, entire cities quarantined. I predict that every major metropolitan city will face quarantine protocols, utilizing the National Guard, Army and Marines- until they get sick. Remember, there are a variety of Executive Orders in place to allow such things, including declaration of martial law, which I also believe will happen.

Shit will really and truly hit the fan when the hospitals are full sometime in April, at the leading edge of the people getting sick, and possibly dying. The first hundred thousand people who become seriously ill and need medical care will get it… the roughly 16+ million people coming after the hospitals are full, will be well and truly screwed. You’ll be on your own, to live or die, without medical care. It’s impossible to even guess what effect this will have, beyond saying most people will have “lost that loving feeling” for China, Chinese goods and the good Dr. Shi, who built the virus in the first place.

Americans being Americans, most people won’t just roll over and take this. That independent streak- and about 500 million guns- will make things extremely interesting, especially as all the groups mentioned earlier start to riot, strip stores bare, and steal anything not nailed down. Crime will go up with the understanding the Law Enforcement organizations will be hopelessly overwhelmed just helping with quarantines and responding the emergency medical calls. Eventually people will be left to fend for themselves, entire regions on their own.

This will lead to crime waves, thefts, rapes, murders, as “the man” has bigger fish to fry than a paltry rapist or pedophile running around.

With quarantine protocols, no food deliveries or restocking of stores will happen; truck drivers aren’t going to risk their lives breaking a quarantine line to deliver a reefer full of frozen chicken or fresh tomatoes. What food and supplies you have on-hand when the quarantines are put in place, will be ALL you have.

People trapped in cities with no operating stores, will have no mass-transit options, since they’ll be shut down as soon as authorities realize they are the perfect petri-dish for coronavirus. Desperation and misery will take over, if you’re trapped in the city, with no law-enforcement, no weapons to protect yourself, no food supplies and potentially a loss of public utilities like water and power. The average person has less than three days of food in their house/apartment/whatever.

In China, they’ve had people in quarantine zones for WEEKS. How well do you think that’s going to go over with people that are “prepped” with guns but don’t have a week of food in their house? What do you think parents will do when they’ve run out of food, and their 2.1 kids are crying because they’re hungry?

The answer is simple: they’ll do anything they have to do, to feed their kids…

The mainstream media has already started a campaign to vilify anyone with enough functioning grey-cells to put all these pieces together, get their asses down to Walmart or Costco or Giant or ACME or whatever, and load up on foods that can be stored for a while on a shelf… Campbells Soup reported a massive uptick of purchases over the last two weeks (duh). Vendors of long-term storable foods have reported visits from alphabet-agencies offering lucrative contracts to sell EVERYTHING they have to the government and- if the vendor refuses- telling them that when the shit comes down, “we’re just going to take it anyway.”

As I said in my last paper, you’ve got a VERY limited time to act… MAKE some command decisions on who you can save and how, and get moving. The main thing is food, water, weapons to defend you and yours.

TICK-TOCK.

Written by Capitalist Eric

March 10, 2020 at 1:05 am

Posted in Uncategorized

Coronavirus- Blunt Truth

with 39 comments

coronavirus molecule

The coronavirus (Covid-19, or whatever else you want to call it) represents a fundamental change in the way our current society operates. For this essay, I’m ONLY talking about the virus itself. I’ll follow up in the next day or two on economic impacts of it.

But let’s start off with the virus, establish the history, where it really came from, WHY, and what to do about it… then we can get on to what happens after.
BACKGROUND:

First of all, contrary to MSM stories saying it was due to people eating Bat-soup, transferred from Sloths or whatever fictional bullshit they think people would be stupid enough to believe, the virus is NOT a naturally-occurring phenomenon. It was intentionally engineered by China. I will say that this is not speculation, not a conspiracy-theory, but a fact documented by plenty of public-domain documentation, by the people that did it.

But first, the obvious question: Why would anyone be so stupid as to build something like this? The answer is quite simple: In a secret speech given to high-level Communist Party cadres nearly two decades ago, Chinese Defense Minister Gen. Chi Haotian explained a long-range plan for ensuring a Chinese national renaissance using biological weapons. The idea was to develop and deploy bio-weapons to destroy the USA, so they could literally walk in and colonize it for themselves, leaving the contaminated, destroyed land they now live on.

I strongly suggest you read the entire article for yourself; it’s quite the eye-opener.
AND NOW

An acquaintance who happens to have a PhD in Computational Molecular Biology told me on January 17 that the coronavirus is genetically engineered. The details of the conversation aren’t germane, but he made it clear that there is no possibility that this occurred naturally. This was confirmed February 8 by the peer-reviewed Virology Journal, Vol.16, publication date April 2020, HERE.

As the authors of the paper explain in the full text, “This furin-like cleavage site… may provide a gain-of-function to the 2019-nCoV for efficient spreading in the human population.” There is an underlying implication here that is very subtle; the ONLY possible reason for this modification is the creation of a biological warfare weapon. There are no other plausible explanations.

Next, NOBODY with an ounce of intellectual honesty can argue that the release of the virus didn’t occur Wuhan, China, at the only BSL-4 lab in the entire country. Watching the growth of this, increasingly large concentric circles around that lab, as more and more people were exposed, makes this abundantly clear. Once people started flying on local airlines, coronavirus shattered any possibility of containment, and the die was cast. We’ll get back to airliners later.

Things start to get screwy when you start asking how the Chinese created such a monster as we’re now seeing…? I mean, the Chinese are damned good at stealing technology and ideas, and running with them. They’re not particularly smart thinkers and inventors, as much as thieves. So how did they develop something so new and radical as this on their own???

The answer is, they didn’t. This virus was created at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, and they published the highlights of their creation in November 2015. When you look at the list of “scholars” associated with this Frankenstein of a virus, you’ll see the name Zheng-Li Shi, who just happens to represent the Key Laboratory of Special Pathogens and Biosafety, Wuhan Institute of Virology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, China. Of course, there were other scientists, most representing UNC, but there were also representatives from Bellinzona Institute of Microbiology, Zurich, Switzerland and Harvard Medical School.

Keep your eye on Dr. Shi, though… From this Wikipedia article,

From 2014, Shi Zhengli was the recipient of a number of US Government grants as well as grants from the National Basic Research program of China, the Chinese Academy of Science, the National Natural Science Foundation of China, and from the Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences, to assist in funding research into coronaviruses.

shi zhengli

Dr. Shi Zhengli

So this lady was paid well by the US government AND the Chinese government to fund “research into coronaviruses.”

What did we (and China) get for our money spent? In the original paper published in 2015, they stated

“Using the SARS-CoV reverse genetics system2, we generated and characterized a chimeric virus expressing the spike of bat coronavirus SHC014 in a mouse-adapted SARS-CoV backbone. The results indicate that group 2b viruses encoding the SHC014 spike in a wild-type backbone can efficiently use multiple orthologs of the SARS receptor human angiotensin converting enzyme II (ACE2), replicate efficiently in primary human airway cells and achieve in vitro titers equivalent to epidemic strains of SARS-CoV. Additionally, in vivo experiments demonstrate replication of the chimeric virus in mouse lung with notable pathogenesis. Evaluation of available SARS-based immune-therapeutic and prophylactic modalities revealed poor efficacy; both monoclonal antibody and vaccine approaches failed to neutralize and protect from infection with CoVs using the novel spike protein.”

Did you get that???

In effect, they took the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) virus carried by bats, that was making the rounds back in 2003, and reverse-engineered the genetic coding inside the virus itself. They THEN inserted additional proteins to enhance the efficiency of the virus inside human lungs (making it more deadly), while at the same time making it extremely difficult to vaccinate against, because the new virus has multiple proteins with which to attack. (Please note the receptor designation ACE2, as you’ll see more of this again.)

Interestingly, in a footnote it says, “Cells were originally obtained from Fort Detrick.”

As they say in the 2015 paper, they created a “hybrid virus” which is far more deadly, and can’t be vaccinated against. Their new DNA genetically engineered virus constitutes a gain in pathogenesis. That’s a gain of function right there; they admit it. Pathogenesis means lethality and infectiousness. Dr. Shi learns how to perform “gain of function” operations within viruses, and then she returns to her post in Wuhan, China.

Fast-forward to November, 2019… a breach of containment occurs at the Wuhan Institute of Virology, and Patient Zero is detected somewhere between December 1 and December 12, 2019. We don’t know, at this time, the circumstances around Patient-0, if he/she is alive or dead, and how containment was breached. I suspect that the true nature of the containment breach will never be known. Whether buried or burned in one of the dozens of incinerators that have been running in Wuhan 24×7 for the last few months, dead from the virus or from a sudden and acute case of lead poisoning, such knowledge which can embarrass a totalitarian government makes one more valuable dead than alive.

With the outbreak of the new coronavirus (now deemed 2019-nCoV) , Dr. Shi is one of the authors that published s THIS PAPER in January 23, 2020, saying that , stating that it is “of probable bat origin,” and “Pairwise protein sequence analysis of seven conserved non-structural proteins domains show that this virus belongs to the species of SARSr-CoV… the same cell entry receptor—angiotensin converting enzyme II (ACE2)—as SARS-CoV.”

Gee, you think?

Put simply, this is an enhanced version “hybrid virus” that they developed at UNC, with Ft. Detrick support, back in 2015. Dr. Shi knows exactly what it is, because she helped build it!

As a practical matter, what does the “gain of function” mean? Basically, that it’s built to be far more virulent and deadly, than anything seen before. This ain’t your daddy’s flu, let me tell you. And now we know that the good doctor and her team inserted HIV and MERS proteins into the coronavirus, to give it just a touch more “kick.”
How bad is it?

From the Lancet study published January 24, 2020, 83% of those exposed had respiratory distress, and of the sick, mortality was 15%, with 12% surviving but suffering cardiac injury. So that works out to about 12% of the population.

The average number of people infected by a sick person is incredibly high, some studies estimating it as has as 6.7, the factor known as R0, spoken as “R-naught.” So it’s highly communicable.

As a cherry on top, an infected person can be asymptomatic and yet contagious for up to 27 days. That is, you can be infected, yet not even know it… you spend a month going about your life, having a meal with your family at the local restaurant, go the movies, get on a plane for a meeting on the other side of the country (with a layover or two each way), you are at a hotel on your trip, a few more restaurants, a taxi-ride, tipping the doorman at the hotel… meeting with clients (or managers), secretaries, analysts, or literally bumping into someone walking down the sidewalk in the city you’re visiting… ALL of them exposed to what your carrying, and you have no idea you’re even sick. This goes on for a month, before you start to feel a sore throat, achy, short of breath, etc.

It’s already well-documented that it doesn’t have to be by physical contact, or even sneezes. Think of when you walk by someone who’s a heavy smoker, or has bad breath. You never touch them, but molecules from them have directly entered into your nasal passages, enough for you to detect the smell. You’ve inhaled organic material from them.

With coronavirus, you can get it the same way… except there’s no smell, and you’re oblivious to what’s just happened.

When I first became aware of this virus in the middle of January, and soon after my colleague informed me of the artificial nature of some aspects of the virus, I was alerted to the ramifications. With the Lancet study detailing the mortality rate of 15%, plus the long life (of up to 14 days asymptomatic) and an R-0 at the time being quoted as ~2.5, it didn’t take long to add up that this is NOT going to be stopped, anywhere. It’ll continue on until everyone is exposed, and the ones left alive will pick up the pieces when it finally burns itself out.

Within a month of that report coming out, mid-February, the Lancet changed their tune, discussing in articles how to “tamp down fears” of the coronavirus. At the same time it became apparent that China was manipulating the numbers of infections and deaths. Unsurprisingly, the truth is now coming out via whistleblowers inside China who detail how the “recovery” from the coronavirus is all fake and trickery.

It’s bad enough that all the crematoria in Wuhan province are running at capacity, and mobile units have been brought in, all to help destroy the bodies of the dead. The mobile units have the capability to burn 1200 bodies per day. Various reports are coming out, videos of people who watched friends and family members literally wrapped in several layers of plastic bags, stuck in a box, and sent off for incineration, while they were still alive. People who die in their homes from coronavirus are not counted among the dead, nor are those who commit suicide by jumping out of their high-rise apartments in a final act of desperation.

It’s not hard to find these videos, if you do some basic searching.

Now, in all of these dark clouds, there is a bit of silver lining so far. First of all, the fatality rates in non-Asian countries has actually been substantially lower than in China. From this paper, it has been determined that those ACE2 receptors that the coronavirus attach to, are far more prevalent in Asian people than in whites or blacks- about 5x more. This might account for the mortality rate for Asians being approximately 5x higher than non-Asians. An outstanding analysis of this has been done in this Zerohedge.com summary. Bottom line, if your heritage doesn’t include China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Vietnam or the Korean peninsula, your chances of getting through this virus unscathed are pretty strong. So, in an ironic twist fit only for a B-movie, the Frankenstein virus they’ve created may well destroy them instead of their Western enemies.

I find it fitting.
An option to help yourself with the virus:

Another aspect of this type of viral transmission is that there are certain people who just don’t seem to be affected by viruses of this type. THIS ARTICLE explain that “[t]he only people that can be infected by the 2019-n Coronavirus have less than 98.7 µg/L of Selenium in plasma or serum. Those who have enough Selenium are immune to this and all other enveloped viruses. Selenium can be obtained from Brazil nuts, Selenium pills or Astragalus tea.”

I would strongly suggest you go read this for yourself (and all the linked documentation), and go further to perform a Google search for “coronavirus” and “selenium.” You’ll be amazed at the amount of documentation that comes up… all confirming the original point. As always, YMMV, but we have to look at practical solutions to get through this first element of the virus.

Now, the rate of spread of the infection, varies from country to country, due to a variety of geographical and societal factors, as well as the proliferation of air-travel (the PERFECT means to contaminate as many people as possible in a short period of time). In short, the number of infected doubles every four days, almost perfectly. At the start the projected growth rate is always a little iffy, but by the time you get to a few hundred or a few thousand infected, you can nail it down pretty well. And we’re at four days, ignoring China’s bogus numbers.

Starting with February 13, outside China there were 528 people confirmed infected. So by doubling every four days, we would expect to see 16,896. The real-time CDC map HERE reported 14,900 confirmed cases for the same date. So our growth rate of doubling every four days is pretty close. Going at this same rate- despite the best efforts of various governments, policies, isolation/quarantines, etc., this means we’re going to hit maximum exposure, i.e, EVERYBODY, on May 17 or May 18, 2020.

Put graphically, the race-car that this geometric growth pattern represents, hits the proverbial wall in TWO MONTHS.

coronavirus spread

You need to prepare food supplies for a three-month “indoor stay-cation,” and what may follow.

I get into that HERE.

For now…? You’ve got the data. Make some command decisions on who to save and HOW. Move with a purpose.

Tick Tock.

Written by Capitalist Eric

March 8, 2020 at 3:21 am

Posted in Uncategorized