Capitalist Eric

Truth is treason in an empire of lies.

You’ve got ONE WEEK

with 12 comments

SITREP 9/25/22

The Ukrainian regions of Kherson, Donetsk, Lughansk and Zaporozhye are primarily made up of Russian-speaking people.

Donetsk and Lughansk voted for independence in 2014, and asked for assistance from Russia in 2014, to resist attacks by “Azov” battalions (neo-Nazi military brigades) that have been on-going for the past eight years.

Russia- until February 24, 2022- rejected those calls for assistance. The Ukrainian Parliament adopted legislation in 2017 reinstating NATO membership as the country’s objective.

In 2019, Ukraine stated its will to join the West in its constitution. “Ukraine will join the E.U., Ukraine will join NATO!” declared Andriy Parubiy, Ukraine’s speaker of the house. Russian President Vladimir Putin had demanded that NATO not expand to Ukraine or any former Soviet states over, expressing concern over the extension of a military and political alliance founded to counter the former Soviet Union- not unlike the Cuban Missile Crisis.

On 2/22/22, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg stated “We stand in solidarity with the Ukrainian people and its government. Allies are united in their full support for Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity within its internationally recognised borders. We will continue to provide Ukraine with strong political support and Allies are providing equipment to help Ukraine defend itself, as well as sustained financial support.”

In effect, this was a pledge to support Ukraine as a NATO member despite lacking membership.

On 2/24/22 Russia began the “special military operation” to destroy the war-fighting capabilities of Ukraine, which had been armed and trained by NATO advisers since 2014.

Currently, referendums to become part of Russian territory are on-going for Donetsk, Lughansk, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions of Ukraine (Russian-speaking regions of Eastern Ukraine). All but the last have unofficially voted to join, Zaporozhye is still in doubt.

Ramifications: Russian leaders have indicated that attacks on Russian territory to be an act of war, with “all of the means available” to respond to such attacks. Ukraine, NATO and the UN have openly rejected the referendums as “illegitmate” (confirmed).

Public sources confirm Russia now drafting 300,000 troops, as of 9/21/22. My source says that the goal is 300,000 per month, through the end of the year, with a total of 1 million new recruits (unconfirmed).

Also states ~260,000 have left Russia since March 2022, not wanting to fight (confirmed).

(9/22/22) “The entire Western military machine stands against Russian Armed Forces and DPR and LPR militias,” Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said, speaking at the UN Security Council ministerial meeting on Ukraine Thursday. “We have no illusions that Russian Armed Forces and DPR and LPR militias face not only the neo-Nazi forces of the Kiev regime, but the entire military machine of the collective West,” he said.

During a national address, Putin stated he “wasn’t bluffing” and would use “all of the means available to us” if Russian territory was threatened.

The US will retaliate forcefully should Russia use nuclear weapons in Ukraine, President Joe Biden’s national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, told CBS on Sunday (9/25/22). “Any use of nuclear weapons will be met with catastrophic consequences for Russia,” Sullivan said on the network’s Face the Nation program, explaining that the Biden administration had told Moscow both privately at “very high levels” and publicly that “the United States and our allies will respond decisively if Russia uses nuclear weapons.”

Source indicates all companies with Russian military contracts are being directed to deliver product as directed, and as scheduled by Russian government, or face 5 years in prison. (unconfirmed).

Russia started referendums for “breakaway” regions to join Russia on 9/23/22. Source indicates Kherson, Donetsk and Lughansk “breakaway” regions have successfully voted to join Russia as of 9/25/22. At this time only 48% of Zaporozhye votes already cast, result not yet known. Anticipated vote for Russia incorporation will be successful.

Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe, Russian Duma to vote on acceptance or rejection of four regional referendums (anticipated acceptance). If Russian Duma accepts, then regions become part of Russian territory (according to Russian government). Any attacks on regions after acceptance would be considered an attach on Russia itself, an act of war.

President Putin scheduled to give speech Friday. Anticipated ultimatum to Ukraine, possibly declaration of war against Ukraine.

SUMMARY OF DATA:The Ukrainian regions of Kherson, Donetsk, Lughansk and Zaporozhye are primarily made up of Russian-speaking people. Donetsk and Lughansk voted for independence in 2014, and asked for assistance from Russia in 2014, to resist attacks by “Azov” battalions (neo-Nazi military brigades) over the past eight years. The “special military operation” to destroy the warfighting capability of Ukraine Armed Forces units has been largely successful, with roughly 10 Ukrainian soldiers killed for every Russian KIA. Ukrainian man-power is sufficiently depleted that its remaining forces (~20-25%) are bolstered by NATO soldiers, mercs and contractors. Russia has sufficient military power to finish off Ukraine, between existing Class-A weapons and existing military troops.

Russia, however, is mobilizing on a large scale, presumably for a much wider conflict with NATO/EU/USA forces, at a scale not seen since WW2. Anecdotal evidence confirms source data, that massive military drafts are underway.

Rhetoric from both American and Russian sides indicate no inclination to back down from escalation, up to and including nuclear warfare. [It should be noted that while Russia is no longer communicating with Western leaders (such as refusing telephone calls from Macron of France), they are being absolutely meticulous in establishing their legal framework for the events to come. As I mentioned to my Russian source, “it’s like they’re speaking to future historians, to fully explain what is happening.” My source was quite surprised by my assessment, but 100% agreed, said “it’s the only explanation that makes sense.”]

While the USA has nuclear ICBMs, Russia appears to have new, state-of-art weapons which can defeat all Western anti-ballistic missile (ABM) defenses.

Once the four regions of Eastern Ukraine are officially part of Russian territory, any attacks by Ukrainian forces are likely to escalate the scale of weapons used, to include thermobaric, tactical and possibly strategic nuclear weapons. The USA has indicated that the use of “WMDs” (however that is defined) in Ukraine will be met “forcefully,” though perhaps not with nuclear weapons.

Expected timeline:

By 9/27/22, all referendums for Kherson, Donetsk, Lughansk and Zaporozhye will be completed.

By late night 9/29/22, Russian Duma will accept or reject referendums, making the regions Russian territory.

By late night 9/30/22, President Vladimir Putin will address nation, with either an ultimatum or an outright declaration of war against Ukraine.

After that, any attacks by NATO/EU/USA forces on the newly admitted regions will be considered an act of war on Russia, with corresponding reactions. Given recent history by Ukrainian forces, it is reasonable to assume Ukranian forces will continue to attack/shell the mentioned regions, opening the region to a declared war. This will move the situation from a “special military operation” to a full-on war, with corresponding strategies, weapons deployment, etc.

This also means that the participation by forces outside of either Ukraine or Russia would be a party to the war, and the countries they represent will be pulled into the conflict, whether by a direct declaration of war by Russia or the participating countries.

It is reasonable to assume that World War 3 will “officially” commence within the next seven days, at current trajectory.

Written by Capitalist Eric

September 26, 2022 at 12:32 am

Posted in Uncategorized

12 Responses

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  1. Many opportunities to avoid all of this have been presented multiple times over the last 3 years or so. However, the bastards pulling the puppet strings want war and they will have war. One more tool in their demonic toolkit to reduce population by all that comes with war; the actually killings, the famine and the pestilence.

    Brewer55

    September 26, 2022 at 8:16 am

    • EXACTLY.

      IcePickedSlim

      September 27, 2022 at 2:45 pm

    • But hey no more mean tweets that made some people sad 😢. So it’s all good 👍.
      Let’s Go Brandon!

      Warren

      September 27, 2022 at 4:51 pm

  2. “War: On Wednesday, Russian President Putin declared a “partial mobilization” of 300K reservists to fight in Ukraine — and even made a nuclear threat.”

    That quote is from Robbinhood Snacks weekly email earlier today. I think it’s apparent now what is happening, you have children playing a deadly game of truth or dare. They just don’t get it. If I had to guess as to the reasons why I would venture to say most in the decision making tree have never been in a fight before in their Ivey Leagued educated lives. Not only that, but they’re quite used to getting and hearing what they want surrounded by echo chambers.

    I Like the observation, though a chilling one, “It’s like their speaking to future historians, to fully explain what is happening.”

    luke

    September 26, 2022 at 10:09 am

  3. I live in CT, and no matter where one lives in CT it’s not far enough from the Groton submarine base; the Sikorsky facilities in Stratford, Bridgeport and New Haven; Pratt and Whitney in East Hartford, GE Defence in Stamford and many other defence contractors. My plans to move out of CT didn’t happen so I have a big bottle of single malt scotch and a pack of Marlboros waiting for me to enjoy when the first flash appears in the distance from one of the targets.

    jeff smith

    September 26, 2022 at 5:24 pm

    • Dalwhinnie and a pack of Camels here …

      Thomas Anderson

      September 27, 2022 at 2:41 pm

    • AGREED.

      IcePickedSlim@gmail.com

      September 27, 2022 at 2:46 pm

    • I’m in Commiecticut too. No hope if it comes to that. We have psychopaths running the show so I’m not inclined to think it won’t happen. Scotch and cigars for me.

      Ranger Up

      September 27, 2022 at 3:45 pm

  4. For God so loved the world that He gave His only begotten Son, that whosoever should believe in Him should not perish, but have everlasting life.-John 3:16

    realwesterner

    September 27, 2022 at 3:17 pm

  5. Excellent analysis, albeit it gets a little murky from October 1 on, doesn’t it? Escalation will be hugely unpopular in the US and having any of that on the eve of the elections (provided they still occur – admittedly a big IF under those circumstances) will turn a drubbing into a historical rout.

    Only quibble I have is that there are no CONUS ABM systems to speak of to defeat. Good old fashioned ICBMs will work just fine.

    Staring In Disbelief

    September 27, 2022 at 3:56 pm

  6. WWIII, more than a couple of US cities eviscerated and turned into nuclear wastelands.
    It’s not out of the question that the current illegitimate cabal in Washington would gin this up as the end all of October surprises.

    Warren

    September 27, 2022 at 4:56 pm

  7. ALL the chips were made in CHINA,and they all have a back door to turn them OFF,america you have NO WORKING WEAPONS to use against anyone,YOU WILL LOSE ANY WAR YOU START AND THE CLINTONS AND BIDEN KNOW IT..

    Arizona

    September 29, 2022 at 7:32 pm


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